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you better have good money if you're lookin' for a house in California
Additive model examples
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kids like you and me baby, we were born to add
Additive models
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you're a human supernova, a solar superman
ANOVA for regression models
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I don't want no fly guy, I just want a fly eye
Bivariate data: Drosophila
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outstanding, girl you knock me out
Bivariate data: Introducing color
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though I'm a geyser, feel it bubbling from below
Bivariate density plots
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Lincoln Duncan is my name, and here's my slope, my slope
Bootstrapping a regression slope
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10 bands, 50 bands, 100 bands, let's just not even discuss it man
Bootstrapping confidence bands for regression
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category is: stars, statements, and legends
Categorical data
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the fat cats had a heart attach, you know that their time is coming to an end
Conditional density estimates
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see what condition my condition was in
Conditional random variables
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look at us, we formed a band
Confidence bands for empirical distributions
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You're in the middle of the ride, everything, everything will be be just fine
Confidence interval for the median
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to the left, to the left, negative Delta is a shift to the left
Confidence intervals for a shift
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We are not who you think we are, we are golden
Confidence intervals for the CDF
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what's wrong with being confident?
Confidence intervals, normal and not-so-normal
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category is: bring it to the runway
Contingency table
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testing, testing, 1, 2, 3
Correcting for multiple testing
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you gotta learn your place, don't let it go to waste, humble but hungry, need validation
Cross-validation for kernel regression
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where would you go, where would you go with a lasso
Dealing with lots of predictors
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Scrambled F, oh my baby how I love your tests
Example: A permutation F-test
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I'm tryna get the car with the chromie wheels here
Example: Abnormal chromosomes
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adult books, I don't understand
Example: Adult measurements
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I'm say it cure glaucoma, I'm another bush doctor
Example: American National Election Studies
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I fell into a well, fell into a well, fell into a deep dark well
Example: Arsenic in wells
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why must I feel like that, why must I weigh the cat
Example: Cat weights
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oh I just cat weight to be king
Example: Cat weights II: Confidence intervals
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smells like teen spirit
Example: Emission sniffers
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gimme fuel, gimme fire, gimme that which I desire
Example: Ethanol revisited
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gimme fuel, gimme fire, gimme that which I desire
Example: Gas taxes and fuel consumption
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I don't want to fall in love, if I ever did that I think I'd have a heart attack
Example: Heart disease
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my heart starts missing a beat every time
Example: Heart transplants
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school's out for summer
Example: High school
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but the second mother was with the seventh son, and they were both out on Highway 61
Example: Highway accidents
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re-rewind, when the crowd say bo selecta
Example: Highway accidents: Model selection
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control yourself, take only the regressors you need
Example: Kids' BMI
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nobody cares, nobody cares, nobody cares, oh well
Example: Logistic regression with an interaction
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it's fun to stay in the OECD
Example: OECD population growth
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take a load of Fanny, and you put the load right on me
Example: Predicting weight from height
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shorty got lo, lo, lo, lo, lo, lo, loess
Example: Predicting weight using loess
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Example: Professor salaries 43 of 101
13:03duration 13 minutes 3 seconds
Example: Professor salaries
hit the studio, 'cause I'm paid in full (professor)Example: Professor salaries
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I'm just gon' sit on the dock of the Bayes
Example: Quasipoisson and other fancy models
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Nate Dogg and WArren G had to regulate
Example: Regularized logistic regression
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I don't want to get hurt when I'm walking on Wall Street, I could lose my shirt, not to mention my cash
Example: S&P 500 changes
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stop in the name of frisk
Example: Stop and frisk
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the concrete geoms where dreams are made of
Example: The NY Choral Society, continued
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the best things in life are free, but you can keep them for the birds and bees
Example: Weighted logistic regression
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I went for a walk on a stalk of wheat, and it felt like a trillion feet
Example: Wheat!
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wooly bully, wooly bully, wooly bully, wooly bully, wooly bully
Example: Wool failure
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it could all be so simple, but you'd rather make it hard
Factors as predictors
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Generalized Additive Models 53 of 101
13:00duration 13 minutes 0 seconds
Generalized Additive Models
GAMs without frontiersGeneralized Additive Models
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pray God you can cope, I stand outside this woman's work
Inference for logistic regression
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you are the best thing that's ever been spline
Inference for splines
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if I have to go somewhere, no, I'm not going alone, interaction baby
Interactions between factors
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there you stood on the edge of your feather, expecting to fly
Interactions: A factor and a numerical variable
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Gee, gee, gee, gee, baby, baby, baby
Introducing ggplot()
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dancehall general, party fanatic kernel, Cappadonna son'a old school disco inferno
Kernel regression
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Local polynomial regression 60 of 101
11:04duration 11 minutes 4 seconds
Local polynomial regression
local hero she said with a smile, yeah a local hero, he used to live here for a whileLocal polynomial regression
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-
right where everything goes, that's logistics
Logistic regression
-
gamma gamma, we accept you, one of us
Maximum likelihood estimation for parametric…
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seven seas swimming them so well, glad to see my face among them, kissing the tortoise shell
Models for count data
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take a sad song and make it beta
Multiple regression: Classical inference
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there's no denying that it's hip to be square
Multiple regression: Ordinary least squares
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sweet food bursts from every kernel
Nonparametric density estimation
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pressure pushing down on me
Nonparametric regression: Multiple predictors
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It's not about a salary, it's all about reality
One-sample example: Faculty salaries
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R simulations of Type I error and power for CLT tests, t-tests, and sign tests.
One-sample tests: Power simulations
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goodness gracious great balls of fire
Parametric distributions and goodness-of-fit tests
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I'm on the stereo, stereo
Permutation test example: Stereograms
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One, two, three, if you haven't had enough of me get in line
Permutation tests: A small example
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don't you ever for a second get to thinking you're not exchangeable
Permutation tests: The concept
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there's short ones, tall ones, fine ones, kind ones, too many fish in the sea
Poisson regression
-
Polly wants a cracker, maybe she would like some food
Polynomial regression
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everybody get random, all gyal them, all man them
Random variables
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perhaps I'll get a chance to look ahead and see, soon as I find myself a crystal ball
Regression for prediction
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you better check your model before you wreck your model
Regression: Checking assumptions
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you can't take the effect and make it the cause
Regression: What's the point again?
-
can't explain, I think it's love, try to say it to you when I feel blue
Review: Causation and explanation
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-
-
you're hot and you're cold, you're yes and you're no
Sign test example: Body temperature
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three coins in the fountain, through the ripples how they shine
Significance test example: The binomial test
-
if that was an experiment, I think you had a pretty strong hypothesis
Significance tests: A review
-
your power inside, it rocks me like a lullaby
Significance tests: Power
-
you got the kind of lovin' that can be so smooth
Smoothing splines
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Donatella on the bootstrap, whole crew got a T.R.U. tat
The bootstrap: Estimating error
-
my bootstrap brings all the boys to the yard, and they're like, it's better than yours
The bootstrap: Lots of kinds of confidence…
-
I'm a survivor, I'm not gonna give up, I'm not gonna stop, I'm gonna work harder
The Kaplan-Meier estimator for censored data
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three way tie (for last)
The Kruskal-Wallis test
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two can be as bad as one, it's the loneliest number since the number one
The multiple regression model
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F is for friends who do stuff together
The parametric F-test
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I go forwards, you go backwards
Time series: Presidential elections
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Autobots wage their battle to destroy the evil forces of the Decepticons
Transformations
-
and since the day I left Milwaukee, Lynchburg, Bordeaux, France
Trivariate data: Burning ethanol
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gently take my skulls for a ride
Two-sample example: Etruscan skulls
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that's the joint
Understanding density estimates
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Using gam() to fit splines 100 of 101
13:30duration 13 minutes 30 seconds
Using gam() to fit splines
California knows how to partyUsing gam() to fit splines
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baby take a chance (P = 0.03) with me
Wilcoxon rank-sum test
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